{"id":2039,"date":"2014-12-01T14:25:17","date_gmt":"2014-12-01T14:25:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/alegeliber.md\/?p=2039"},"modified":"2014-12-03T11:21:26","modified_gmt":"2014-12-03T11:21:26","slug":"promo-lex-prezinta-rezultatele-numararii-rapide-calitative-a-voturilor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/ru\/promo-lex-prezinta-rezultatele-numararii-rapide-calitative-a-voturilor-2039.html","title":{"rendered":"Promo-LEX prezint\u0103 rezultatele Num\u0103r\u0103rii Rapide Calitative a voturilor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"qtranxs-available-languages-message qtranxs-available-languages-message-ru\">\u041d\u0435 \u043d\u0430\u0439\u0434\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p><p><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-2041\" href=\"http:\/\/alegeliber.md\/?attachment_id=2041\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-2041\" title=\"31951\" src=\"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/31951-200x133.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"200\" height=\"133\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/31951-200x133.jpg 200w, https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/31951-100x66.jpg 100w, https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/31951.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a>Asocia\u0163ia Promo-LEX a efectuat Num\u0103rarea Rapid\u0103 Calitativ\u0103 a voturilor \u00een cadrul alegerilor parlamentare din 30 noiembrie 2014. Procedura a fost realizat\u0103 \u00een baza unui e\u015fantion reprezentativ, care a inclus 700 de sec\u021bii de votare amplasate pe teritoriul Republicii Moldova (cu excep\u021bia sec\u021biilor de votare de peste hotarele \u021b\u0103rii), din totalul de 1987 de sec\u021bii de votare deschise.<\/p>\n<p>E\u015fantionul statistic reprezentativ pentru \u00eentreaga \u021bar\u0103 cu marja de eroare de maxim 3%. Cu luarea \u00een considera\u021bie a marjei de eroare rezultatele vot\u0103rii pot fi analizate \u0219i suprapuse ca fiind o imagine pentru \u00eentreaga \u021bar\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>Conform rezultatelor Num\u0103r\u0103rii Rapide Calitative,\u00a0<strong>voturile \u00een \u0163ar\u0103<\/strong> se \u00eempart astfel:<\/p>\n<table border=\"1\" cellspacing=\"1\" cellpadding=\"1\" align=\"center\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Rezultate\/Concuren\u021bi electorali<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>%+ME95<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>%-ME95<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>%+ME99<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>%-ME99<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PDM<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>16.241%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>17.414%<\/td>\n<td>15.067%<\/td>\n<td>17.783%<\/td>\n<td>14.698%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PLDM<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>20.121%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>21.294%<\/td>\n<td>18.947%<\/td>\n<td>21.663%<\/td>\n<td>18.578%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PCR<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>4.956%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>6.130%<\/td>\n<td>3.783%<\/td>\n<td>6.499%<\/td>\n<td>3.414%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PSRM<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>20.369%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>21.543%<\/td>\n<td>19.196%<\/td>\n<td>21.912%<\/td>\n<td>18.827%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PCRM<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>17.923%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>19.096%<\/td>\n<td>16.749%<\/td>\n<td>19.465%<\/td>\n<td>16.380%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PL<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>9.573%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>10.747%<\/td>\n<td>8.400%<\/td>\n<td>11.116%<\/td>\n<td>8.031%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Al\u021bii<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>10.937%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>12.110%<\/td>\n<td>9.763%<\/td>\n<td>12.479%<\/td>\n<td>9.394%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>\u00cen urma Num\u0103r\u0103rii Rapide Calitative, potrivit calculelor Efortului de Monitorizare Promo-LEX, \u00een viitorul Parlament am avea urm\u0103toarea distribuire a\u00a0<strong>mandatelor<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<table border=\"1\" cellspacing=\"1\" cellpadding=\"1\" align=\"center\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Concurent electoral<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Ob\u021binute direct<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Redistribuire<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Total mandate ob\u021binute<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PDM<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>16<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td><strong>19<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PLDM<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>20<\/td>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td><strong>24<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PSRM<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>20<\/td>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td><strong>24<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PCRM<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>18<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td><strong>21<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PL<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>10<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td><strong>13<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>84<\/td>\n<td>17<\/td>\n<td><strong>101 <\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Marja maxim\u0103 de eroare pentru rezultatele acestui e\u0219antion este de maxim 1,2% aplicabil\u0103 pentru concurentul electoral PCR. Marja se calculeaz\u0103 pentru fiecare concurent \u00een parte dar este \u00een descre\u0219tere comparativ cu marja anun\u021bat\u0103 mai sus pentru PCR. La calcularea marjei de eroare au fost luate \u00een considera\u021bie absen\u021ba informa\u021biilor de la 7 sec\u021bii de votare, precum \u0219i faptul c\u0103 \u00een e\u0219antion exist\u0103 un num\u0103r de 151 procese verbale cu erori tehnice \u0219i logice de calcul matematic prev\u0103zute \u00een formulele de verificare elaborate potrivit reglement\u0103rilor elaborate de CEC.<\/p>\n<p>Num\u0103rarea Rapid\u0103 Calitativ\u0103 este o procedur\u0103 statistic\u0103 de evaluare a calit\u0103\u021bii desf\u0103\u0219ur\u0103rii vot\u0103rii \u0219i prognozare a rezultatelor finale ale scrutinului, cu o precizie maxim\u0103. Num\u0103rarea Rapid\u0103 Calitativ\u0103 analizeaz\u0103 at\u00e2t comportamentul sec\u021biilor de votare c\u00e2t \u015fi prezice op\u0163iunile de vot a aleg\u0103torilor.<\/p>\n<p><em>Efortul de Monitorizare se \u00eencadreaz\u0103 \u00een activit\u0103\u021bile desf\u0103\u0219urate de societatea civil\u0103 sub egida Coali\u021biei Civice pentru Alegeri Libere \u0219i Corecte.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Efortul de Monitorizare a Alegerilor Parlamentare din 30 noiembrie 2014 beneficiaz\u0103 de asisten\u021ba tehnic\u0103 din partea National Democratic Institute for International Affairs (NDI) \u0219i este sus\u021binut financiar de c\u0103tre Agen\u021bia Statelor Unite pentru Dezvoltare (USAID), National Endowment for Democracy (NED), Consiliul Europei precum \u0219i Funda\u021bia Stefan Batory din resursele oferite de Fondul Solidaritate \u00een cadrul Programului \u201cSprijin pentru Democra\u021bie\u201d al Ministerului Afacerilor Externe al Republicii Polone.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Pentru informa\u021bii suplimentare v\u0103 rug\u0103m s\u0103 contacta\u021bi:<\/strong><br \/>\nGalina Sandu\u021ba, Ofi\u021ber de Pres\u0103\u00a0Efort de Monitorizare Promo-LEX<br \/>\nTelefon: 069 95 82 89,\u00a0 Email:\u00a0<a href=\"mailto:galina.sanduta@promolex.md\">galina.sanduta@promolex.md<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u041d\u0435 \u043d\u0430\u0439\u0434\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Asocia\u0163ia Promo-LEX a efectuat Num\u0103rarea Rapid\u0103 Calitativ\u0103 a voturilor \u00een cadrul alegerilor parlamentare din 30 noiembrie 2014. Procedura a fost realizat\u0103 \u00een baza unui e\u015fantion reprezentativ, care a inclus [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4,1,30],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2039"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2039"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2039\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2039"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2039"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alegeliber.md\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2039"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}